Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.003653 0.003839 0.004030 0.004240 0.004466 0.004700 0.004964
2025-03-16 0.003307 0.003581 0.003874 0.004211 0.004589 0.005001 0.005488
2025-03-23 0.003059 0.003379 0.003730 0.004145 0.004626 0.005169 0.005833
2025-03-30 0.002873 0.003223 0.003615 0.004090 0.004654 0.005308 0.006133
2025-04-06 0.002753 0.003129 0.003559 0.004091 0.004737 0.005506 0.006501
2025-04-13 0.002574 0.002955 0.003398 0.003953 0.004641 0.005474 0.006578
2025-04-20 0.002490 0.002890 0.003359 0.003958 0.004714 0.005648 0.006916
2025-04-27 0.002445 0.002866 0.003368 0.004019 0.004855 0.005912 0.007379
2025-05-04 0.002355 0.002783 0.003299 0.003978 0.004862 0.005998 0.007609
2025-05-11 0.002280 0.002715 0.003246 0.003952 0.004886 0.006105 0.007868
2025-05-18 0.002210 0.002650 0.003193 0.003923 0.004901 0.006200 0.008112
2025-05-25 0.002186 0.002642 0.003211 0.003986 0.005041 0.006466 0.008611
2025-06-01 0.002130 0.002592 0.003174 0.003976 0.005082 0.006601 0.008930
2025-06-08 0.002070 0.002535 0.003125 0.003948 0.005097 0.006697 0.009197
2025-06-15 0.002001 0.002464 0.003056 0.003888 0.005063 0.006721 0.009354
2025-06-22 0.001940 0.002401 0.002995 0.003837 0.005039 0.006757 0.009528
2025-06-29 0.001902 0.002368 0.002972 0.003838 0.005089 0.006901 0.009880
2025-07-06 0.001819 0.002271 0.002862 0.003712 0.004949 0.006756 0.009758
2025-07-13 0.001788 0.002244 0.002844 0.003717 0.005000 0.006900 0.010113
2025-07-20 0.001777 0.002243 0.002863 0.003773 0.005128 0.007168 0.010688
2025-07-27 0.001733 0.002197 0.002817 0.003735 0.005113 0.007211 0.010885
2025-08-03 0.001696 0.002160 0.002783 0.003711 0.005119 0.007287 0.011141
2025-08-10 0.001660 0.002123 0.002747 0.003684 0.005119 0.007352 0.011381